AIDS at the Crossroads: How Funding Cuts Threaten to Revive a Pandemic We Nearly Beat

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Diaspora (Commonwealth Union) _ The world is on the verge of an unimaginable loss in global health, a loss that would erase years of gains against AIDS. During the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development, UNAIDS Executive Director Winnie Byanyima presented a stark picture of the potential reversal of progress: 4.2 million preventable deaths by 2029 and the loss of 300,000 children to a disease that was previously under control.

The numbers tell a story of deadly complacency. With 630,000 AIDS deaths in 2024 alone, funding for prevention and treatment programs the lifeblood of both is bleeding. The prognosis is grim, with the program’s largest donor, donating nearly three-quarters of all worldwide AIDS funding, appearing to retreat. The unravelling of a 40-year-old international safety net is a pressing issue.

Byanyima’s message is especially urgent because we know this play. The 1990s showed us what it is like when political will fails: entire generations lost, AIDS-orphaned children, and shattered health systems. Today’s crisis differs only in irony: we have the scientific tools to make AIDS invisible as a public health crisis, but we may lack the collective will to use them.

The answer being sought requires more than temporary solutions. Byanyima called for nothing less than a revolution in international finance debt relief for the Third World, fairer tax systems, intellectual property reform, and consistent public investment. These are not extreme suggestions but imperatives to fix a system that has become broken, with 73% of life-or-death financing held on a thread.

The consequences of inaction surpass mere statistics. Every percentage point reduction in funding translates into people: a mother in Malawi who cannot receive antiretrovirals, a transgender sex worker in Bangkok who is cut off from PrEP, and an infant in Mozambique born with HIV because prevention efforts failed. The predicted 6.6 million new infections by 2030 is not only an epidemiological failure but a moral failure.

This moment challenges whether the world took anything from COVID-19. Pandemics don’t care about borders, and neither should our responses. As Byanyima succinctly framed it, “We cannot defeat AIDS country by country, only together.” The decision is ours: reinvest in our common humanity or watch over the greatest preventable health tragedy of this decade. The tools are there. The funds are available. What’s lacking is the courage to deploy them.

 

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