2023 predictions: Citizen development and the metaverse fuel software development

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(Commonwealth Union)_Software is a business expression. To achieve this expression, developers must navigate a sea of ever-changing opportunities — and problems. Every API champion who emerges from the business poses a security risk to citizen development at the permitter. Despite advances in value stream management, there has been minimal advancement in metaverse API standards. Whether professional or citizen developers, software development is a never-ending series of ups and downs that must be navigated. 

In 2022, it was predicted that event-driven architecture would take hold, mobile development environments would increasingly support web runtimes, development teams would migrate to consolidated DevOps toolchains, AI would improve development tools, and collaborative work management would overtake strategic portfolio management. These forecasts were mostly correct. In 2023, a more turbulent sea in software development is anticipated. High and low waves will collide (business objectives will drive API initiatives) (for all the effort to create standards, some areas of development will be just too nascent), and the following is anticipated in particular.

Citizen development will result in a high-profile security vulnerability. Citizen development has progressed from experimentation to the replacement of essential programmes, with 39% of businesses now adopting low code to empower developers outside of IT, and 27% aiming to do so within the next year.

However, the inflow of new developers has resulted in a critical mass of business professionals who are only now becoming acquainted with application security, secure code, and data sensitivity. As a result, we anticipate a well-publicised security breach resulting from citizen development in 2023. To avoid this, low-code platform and security teams must collaborate to analyse responsibilities, create security guardrails, and implement a governance strategy centred on citizen development.

Over 40% of API strategy will be driven by enterprise business leaders rather than IT. APIs are the interconnects for digital business, but until recently, they were mostly driven by IT concerns rather than the businesses that rely on them the most. Fortunately, this is changing as companies realise that the biggest value of APIs comes from the creation of new products, business models, and channels. We estimate that instead of CIOs or IT leaders, champions for API strategy would emerge from enterprise business leaders such as CEOs and boards of directors by 2023. Although it will not be a majority, we expect executives in industries such as manufacturing, retail, automotive, energy, and others to see the importance of a unified API strategy driven by business needs rather than technology.

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