Africa (Commonwealth Union) _ Since the devastating civil war and the 1994 genocide against the Tutsis, Rwanda’s political scene has been dominated by the Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) and its leader, Paul Kagame. Winning over 90% in the previous three presidential elections, Kagame has now provisionally secured 99.15% of the vote, overshadowing all opposition. This victory, however, came at the expense of excluding prominent challengers like Victoire Ingabire Umuhoza.
In 2010, Ingabire returned from exile, determined to run for president. However, her aspirations were abruptly halted when she was arrested after voicing her discontent with the government’s reconciliation policies. Although she was released in 2018, her dreams of political leadership remain unattainable. The Rwandan courts denied her rehabilitation, barring her from participating in the most recent elections and preventing her from reuniting with her family overseas.
Amnesty International condemned the 2017 elections, describing them as conducted in a “climate of fear and repression,” a description that rings true even in 2024. Opposition figures, such as Bernard Ntaganda, continue to encounter significant legal hurdles. Recent constitutional amendments have synchronized presidential and parliamentary elections, yet the media’s overwhelming focus on the presidential race has suffocated broader political discussions.
In this atmosphere, the chances for a robust political discourse remain slim, with the opposition facing continuous suppression. The changes in electoral processes have done little to alter the heavily skewed political landscape, leaving voices of dissent struggling to be heard amidst a backdrop of governmental control and media bias. Kagame’s tenure is marked by economic recovery, boasting a 7.2% annual GDP growth from 2012 to 2022. However, nearly half the population still lives on less than $2.15 a day, revealing deep-rooted inequalities. Critics argue that a thriving democracy, embracing dissent and debate, is essential for Rwanda’s true progress.
Despite Kagame’s claims of a unique Rwandan democracy, the lack of competition in elections raises questions about genuine popularity. Kagame’s recurrent near-total electoral victories suggest a controlled political environment rather than a testament to widespread approval. Rwanda’s journey to democracy remains fraught with challenges, needing reforms to foster an inclusive political landscape.