New York, USA (CWBN)_ With the US Presidential Election looming less than two days away, anxieties both locally and internationally are high over its outcome. Current polls indicate Biden’s win over Trump by a simple margin. However, the chances of a debacle like that in 2016, indicating a presidency under Hilary Clinton, is always a likelihood, especially under circumstances where foreign election interference has yet again hit the news headlines just prior to the election.
The unexpected outcome in 2016 is the inexplicable black sheep among previous US Presidential Election. Although, the affinity towards Trump’s chaotic personality to garner the support of the under educated or low-income communities, to “stick it to the man”, has been attributed by election experts for the election’s outcome.
In the more populated or urban regions of the country, voters are reportedly less likely to vote for Trump, as the majority of residents tend to be college graduates, whereas in the rural regions this is not the case. Polling experts failed to take the factor into account, besides notions all over internet claiming that American’s were forced to decide between “two evils”.
Making a decision is obviously an important factor that sways any election, but in 2016 a large number of voters, as many as 15%, had not made up their minds on whom to vote for, while others decided on Trump at the last minute. This was, especially, the case in regard to the swing states. Nonetheless, most sources claim that this year, the number of undecided voters have been mitigated, hence, reducing the chances for another surprise.
Moreover, during her campaign, Clinton failed to effectively reach out to “white working-class districts”, which was a deciding factor in November 2016, but in 2020 those calling for another “MAGA” victory in key states, have for the most part grown less enthusiastic.
Of all the things that could go against Trump, his handling or rather his failure to handle the Covid-19 pandemic when it first broke out in January. Rather than make an effective play to contain the spread, Trump initially rejected the concerns of his advisers, calling them ‘alarmists’, failed to implement a rapid response, left the country unprepared for a pandemic in the course of his presidency, blamed everyone but himself for the blunders that led to over 9.2 million infections and 230,000 deaths thus far.
While the public health factor is an enormous issue, Trump managed to make things worse by escalating the trade war with China during a state of national emergency, which has promoted the loss of employment, businesses, among various other issues that have arisen as a result.
Everything taken into account, CWBN would predict Biden’s win, as he’s still got plenty of cards up in his sleeve, irrespective of his own policy short comings that we have expanded upon in previous articles, particularly with regard to Covid-19, centrist political inclinations, criminal justice reforms and unpopular subjects like climate change, LGBT+ rights and gun control.
So the fact is… as with any prediction, it remains a gamble over an outcome, which could go sideways at any time.
